When considering fund investing, applying Benjamin Graham's value investing philosophy, there are several
important questions to consider carefully.
The answers to these questions will play an important
role in
your investment decisions.
| Criteria | Likelihood of Excess Returns | Avoiding Underperformance | Recommended Fund Types |
|---|---|---|---|
| Focus on long-term performance | Unlikely, as past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Sustainable investment strategy is crucial. | Possible, by prioritizing long-term stability and consistency over short-term gains. | N/A |
| Diversification and valuation | Possible, with careful analysis of intrinsic value and diversification, which can mitigate risk. | Probable, as diversification and valuation can help avoid underperformance over time. | Commingled funds for defensive investors seeking diversification; Open-end funds for those valuing liquidity; No-load funds for low-cost investing. |
Applying Benjamin Graham's value investing principles to fund selection provides an important guide to making
prudent and well-informed investment decisions.
His philosophy emphasizes an investment approach
that
emphasizes long-term value and stability, rather than simply relying on past performance.
Analyzing data going back to 1970, we found that compared to the S&P 500 Index, certain 10 funds performed similarly in the first five years, but in the subsequent five years, the performance of these funds outperformed the index. There was also a wide variation in performance within the same fund.
| Fund | Summary |
|---|---|
| Vanguard 500 Index Fund (VFIAX) | This fund has a strong track record over the past five years and has outperformed the S&P 500 Index, so there is a good chance that it will continue to perform well in the future. |
| Fidelity Magellan Fund (FMAGX) | This fund has performed well in the past, having excelled in the 1980s and 1990s. However, its
performance in recent years has been somewhat lackluster. However, there is potential for improved performance in the future, depending on changes in the fund manager's strategy or changes in the market environment. |
| T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund (TRBCX) | This fund has performed well over the past five-plus years, achieving returns above the market average. This is likely to continue in the future due to the consistency of the investment strategy and the manager's exceptional ability. |
Since the 1970s, the fund industry has grown significantly, and a wide variety of investment strategies and products have emerged. Some funds have outperformed the S&P 500 Index over the long term, demonstrating that fund performance is strongly influenced by a fund manager's expertise, investment strategy, and adaptability to market changes.
| Decade | Market Conditions | Fund Performance |
|---|---|---|
| The 1980s |
|
Many funds achieved high returns, often averaging more than 12% per year. |
| The 1990s |
|
Many funds achieved annualized returns of 15-20% or more during this period, especially those focused on technology stocks. |
| The 2000s |
|
Overall poor performance, but recovery in the late 2000s, with some funds achieving annualized returns of 5-10%. |
| The 2010s |
|
Many funds achieved annualized returns of 10-15% or more, with tech-focused funds remaining strong. |
| The 2020s |
|
Performance divergence, with some funds achieving strong annualized returns of 20% or more, while others underperformed. |
In 1965, the Manhattan Fund was founded, which made its mark on the investment world by investing in what was
then known as high-PER (price-to-earnings ratio) stocks, which were those with high stock
price volatility
despite paying little or no dividends.
In its early stages, the Manhattan Fund performed remarkably
well.
For example, when the S&P 500 Index rose 11%, the Manhattan Fund returned 38.6%. But things took a turn for
the worse in 1968, when performance fell sharply, much to the dismay of investors.
The Manhattan Fund's managers were all in their 30s and 40s, and most of them had only experienced the bull
market from 1948 to 1968. This lack of experience led to a serious crisis when the fund hit a bear market.
This provides a very important lesson in the investment world.
As the French proverb goes, "The more things
change, the more they remain the same," emphasizing the importance of basic investment principles
that
remain constant amidst market changes and uncertainty.
The Fidelity Magellan Fund was founded in 1963 and rose to prominence, especially when managed by Peter Lynch from 1977 to 1990. During his management, the fund averaged an annualized return of approximately 29%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index over the same period.
Beyond a "buy and hold" strategy, Peter Lynch favored investing based on a
careful analysis of a company's
fundamental value and growth potential. He invested wherever he saw value, whether it was in large, mid, or
small-cap stocks.
This flexible approach was one of the keys to his ability to achieve high returns
in a
variety of market conditions.
| Principle | Description |
|---|---|
| 1. "Invest in What You Know" | Lynch encouraged investors to invest in companies they know and understand well. He advised them
to pay attention to products, services, and industries they encounter every day, rather than
complex financial models and forecasts. This stems from his belief that "the best investment ideas often come from our everyday lives." |
| 2. "Include stocks from different categories in your portfolio" | Lynch categorized stocks into several categories, including "Slow Growers," "Stalwarts," "Fast
Growers," "Asset Plays," "Turnarounds," and "Cyclicals." He believed that by including these different types of stocks in your portfolio, you can diversify your risk and profit from different phases of the market. |
| 3. "Don't obsess over market timing" | Lynch believed that it was impossible to time the market. Instead, he favored a strategy of identifying good companies, buying their shares when they were undervalued, and holding on to them until their value was properly recognized by the market. |
| 4. "Don't be overzealous, be patient" | Lynch noted that investors often tend to be too impatient, or overreact to short-term
fluctuations in the market. He advised to pay attention to a company's intrinsic value and long-term growth potential, and emphasized being patient and maintaining a long-term perspective when making investment decisions. |
The success stories of the Fidelity Magellan Fund and Peter Lynch offer a number of important lessons. In
particular, they emphasize the importance of sticking to fundamental analysis and maintaining a
long-term
perspective, even in a complex investment environment.
"Investing is both an
art and a science," Lynch said,
advising investors to focus on the intrinsic value of a company and not be swayed by short-term market
fluctuations.
The Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio is a valuation metric used in stock analysis. It compares a company's Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio to its annual earnings per share (EPS) growth rate. The PEG ratio is calculated using the formula:
PEG = P/E Ratio / Annual EPS Growth Rate
A PEG ratio of 1 or less is generally considered favorable, indicating that the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate.
| Open-End Funds | Closed-End Funds |
|---|---|
|
• Open-end funds have a structure that allows investors to join or leave the fund at any time. • When investors invest money in the fund, the fund issues new units (shares), and when investors want to get their money back, the fund buys units (shares) to return their money. • The price of a fund is based on its Net Asset Value (NAV), which is calculated daily. No additional premiums or discounts are applied. |
• A closed-end fund issues only a fixed number of shares, which are traded on the stock market. • The price of a closed-end fund is determined by market supply and demand, which may differ from its net asset value (NAV). As a result, a closed-end fund may trade above or below its NAV. |
| Performance Period | Closed-End Fund Return | Open-End Fund Return |
|---|---|---|
| 1961-1970 | 9.14% | 9.95% |
| Key Points |
|---|
|
Unless you have a close personal relationship, investors should only accept standard advice that is conservative and very simple.
Investment advisory services and bank trust services are the two main paths to reliable income and wealth
growth. They are designed to meet the different needs and goals of investors, and each has its own unique
approach and advantages.
Here, we'll delve deeper into the key characteristics of these two services
and
provide specific guidance on which investors may be better suited to each.
| Investment Advisory Services | Bank Trust Services |
|---|---|
Key Features
Who is it right for?
|
Key Features
Who is it right for?
|
Investment advisory services and bank trust services each have unique advantages, and the best choice may
depend on an investor's specific needs and circumstances.
Investment advisory services offer a more
personalized and flexible approach, while bank trust services may be an ideal choice for investors who value
legal protection and stability.
Ultimately, the choice between the two should be based on each
investor's
financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term plans.
| Considerations | Investment Advisory Services | Bank Trust Services |
|---|---|---|
| Clarify your financial goals Investors should be clear about what their financial goals are. For example, whether they are looking for high returns in the short term or long-term asset growth may determine which service to choose. |
|
|
| Assess your risk tolerance It's also important to assess how much risk you're willing to take with your investments. Investors who aim for high returns but want to minimize risk may prefer bank trust services. |
||
| Consider your long-term plans You should consider your long-term financial plans and goals when choosing a service. For example, if you have estate planning or wealth transfer plans, a bank trust service may be more suitable for you. |
||
|
Recommendations: Both investment advisory services and bank trust services have their advantages and disadvantages, and the best choice for you will depend on your individual needs and circumstances. Therefore, it is important to clarify your financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term plans, and then seek professional advice to choose the service that is best for you. |
||
Before making any investment decisions, it's wise to gather as much information as possible and, if
necessary, consult with a professional who can provide financial advice.
With this approach,
investors will
be able to choose the best investment path that aligns with their financial goals and long-term plans.
| Company | Overview | Strengths |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock |
|
|
| The Vanguard Group |
|
|
| Fidelity Investments |
|
|
| Company | Overview | Strengths |
|---|---|---|
| JPMorgan Chase & Co. |
|
|
| Bank of America |
|
|
| Citigroup |
|
|
Investment information services can help investors assess the intrinsic value of a company and identify discrepancies between price and value that may be caused by market sentiment.
| Financial Information Providers | Overview | Key Features |
|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg |
|
|
| Reuters |
|
|
| Morningstar |
|
|
In Benjamin Graham's view, investment information service companies help investors evaluate the intrinsic
value of companies and make investment decisions that are irrational in the market. This allows investors to
focus on long-term value and not be swayed by the short-term volatility of the market.
However, Graham also emphasized the importance of investors making independent judgments based on their own
research and analysis, rather than being swayed by market emotions.
In this regard, the data and
analytical
tools provided by investment information service firms are an important resource, but investors must
interpret and apply this information to their own investment philosophy and strategy.
From Benjamin Graham's perspective, investment information service firms provide investors with useful
information and tools, but it's how they use them that matters.
By interpreting and applying the
information
provided to their own investment philosophy and strategy, investors can make more informed investment
decisions. In the end, through continuous learning and emotional management, investors can succeed in the
markets.
Global securities firms play a pivotal role in the financial markets and provide a wide range of financial
services to investors. These firms are widely recognized internationally, such as Goldman Sachs, Morgan
Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, and others, and operate in many fields, including investment banking, capital
market services, and asset management.
However, their activities do not always have the best interests of investors at heart, and sometimes they
tend to drive ultra-short-term trading to increase their fee revenue. This may conflict with
Benjamin
Graham's philosophy of long-term value investing.
Global securities firms offer various financial products and services, often attracting
ultra-short-term
trading. These trades, driven by market noise, may conflict with Graham's long-term value
investing
philosophy.
Focusing on short-term fluctuations can cause investors to overlook long-term
intrinsic
value.
Frequent trading through global brokerage firms can result in increased fees and
expenses.
Ultra-short-term trades, in particular, incur high transaction costs, which can diminish long-term
profitability.
Graham's philosophy emphasizes minimizing costs and seeking stable returns over
time,
highlighting the importance of carefully considering transaction costs and fees associated with global
brokerage firms.
| Global Financial Services Firms | Overview | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs |
What it is: Goldman Sachs is a global investment bank, engaged in stock and bond
trading, capital markets services, and asset management. |
Role: It provides companies and governments with fundraising options and offers
investment opportunities to investors. |
| Morgan Stanley |
What it is: Morgan Stanley is a global investment banking and wealth management
firm offering investment banking, capital markets, asset management, and trust services. |
Role: It provides capital raising and financial advisory services to businesses
and acts as an intermediary in financial markets. |
| JPMorgan Chase |
What it is: JPMorgan Chase is a global financial services company providing
investment banking, commercial banking, wealth management, and personal banking services.
|
Role: Through its financial services, it facilitates liquidity in financial
markets and aids businesses and governments in fundraising. |
While investors should take advantage of the services offered by global brokerage firms, they should remember
Graham's value investing philosophy. An approach that focuses on long-term value and is not swayed by
short-term market fluctuations is important.
It also requires careful consideration of fees and expenses, and in-depth analysis and
discretion when
making investment decisions. With this approach, investors can utilize the services of a global brokerage
firm to their advantage.
Investment banks are institutions that play an important role in the capital market. They help companies
raise funds by issuing stocks or bonds, and participate in the process of acquiring and selling them.
However, historically there have been incidents where investment banks sold low-quality new
stocks
to the
public at overvalued prices, resulting in large losses for investors.
| Example of Low-Quality New Stocks | Context | Lesson Learned |
|---|---|---|
| Case of 1960-1961 |
In 1960-1961, companies in the 'electronics' and 'aerospace' fields especially received great
attention. |
Investors learned the importance of carefully analyzing the true value of companies
before making
investment decisions. |
| Case of 1968-1969 |
In 1968-1969, there was an investment craze for ‘high-growth technology stocks’.
|
Investors were reminded of the importance of analyzing a company's actual value and potential
rather than being swayed by market hype. |
| Changes in Global Investment Banking | Description |
|---|---|
| Strengthening regulation |
Regulations such as Basel III, the US Dodd-Frank Act, and the European Union's MiFID II have been
introduced to increase transparency and strengthen investor protection. |
| Advances in technology |
Technological advancements, including algorithmic trading, have enabled investment banks to
operate more efficiently. |
| Increased investor education |
Investors are becoming more educated and have greater access to information, enabling them to
make more informed decisions. |
Despite these changes, investors should exercise caution and avoid being swayed by market trends.
It's
important to carefully consider advice and products offered by investment banks and make
decisions that are
in line with individual investment objectives.
The global investment banking landscape is dominated by a few major players, who offer a wide range of financial services and have a significant global presence.
| Global Investment Banks | Description |
|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs |
Goldman Sachs is a leading global investment bank offering services in investment banking,
financial services, asset management, and investment management. |
| JPMorgan Chase |
JPMorgan Chase is one of the largest investment banks globally, providing corporate finance,
investment banking, asset management, and retail financial services. |
| Morgan Stanley |
Morgan Stanley is a global investment bank specializing in investment banking, asset management,
and corporate finance advisory services. |
| Barclays |
Barclays is a large investment bank headquartered in the UK, offering a wide range of financial
services internationally. |
| Deutsche Bank |
Deutsche Bank, Germany's largest bank, provides global investment banking, asset management, and
corporate finance services. |
These global investment banks compete in the global financial markets with their own unique strategies and strengths.